Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBR

Zac Hosking

Canberra Raiders · @ SGI

11.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

41% (7/17)

enter odds to compare

Avg

11.5

12.4

L10

13.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ SGI

Game conditionsWIN Stadium · WollongongRound 22 · 2026-07-31 18:00☁ 11.5°C☂ 0.7mm (6%)🌬 13.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Zacvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game

95.6Run Metres1917.7

0.8Tackle Breaks30.6

32.6Tackles343.1

0.2Tries5.2

0.0Try Assists3.8

0.1Line Breaks6.0

1.0Offloads8.5

34.8Post Contact Metres599.7

Run Metres

Zac95.6

SGI1917.7

Tackle Breaks

Zac0.8

SGI30.6

Tackles

Zac32.6

SGI343.1

Tries

Zac0.2

SGI5.2

Try Assists

Zac0.0

SGI3.8

Line Breaks

Zac0.1

SGI6.0

Offloads

Zac1.0

SGI8.5

Post Contact Metres

Zac34.8

SGI599.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SGI concede · Runs

195.9per game · league avg 186.4

#1 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At WIN Stadium10.0(1)-0.4

Everywhere else10.4(71)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)9.6(7)-0.9

Dry games10.5(65)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.