Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBR

Zac Hosking

Canberra Raiders · @ MEL

1.5 OFLO —U —

Hit rate

24% (4/17)

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Avg

1.0

1.2

L10

1.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL

Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Zacvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

95.6Run Metres1701.7

0.8Tackle Breaks33.0

32.6Tackles338.8

0.2Tries4.4

0.0Try Assists3.6

0.1Line Breaks6.3

1.0Offloads9.9

34.8Post Contact Metres571.8

Run Metres

Zac95.6

MEL1701.7

Tackle Breaks

Zac0.8

MEL33.0

Tackles

Zac32.6

MEL338.8

Tries

Zac0.2

MEL4.4

Try Assists

Zac0.0

MEL3.6

Line Breaks

Zac0.1

MEL6.3

Offloads

Zac1.0

MEL9.9

Post Contact Metres

Zac34.8

MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Offloads

9.9per game · league avg 9.8

#9 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Offloads

At AAMI Park1.0(1)+0.3

Everywhere else0.7(71)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Offloads

Wet games (≥1mm)0.9(7)+0.1

Dry games0.7(65)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.