Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBR

Zac Hosking

Canberra Raiders · @ GLD

1.5 OFLO —U —

Hit rate

24% (4/17)

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Avg

1.0

1.2

L10

1.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ GLD

Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 22 · 2026-08-01 15:00☁ 17.2°C☂ 0.2mm (36%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Zacvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game

95.6Run Metres1822.7

0.8Tackle Breaks33.8

32.6Tackles340.9

0.2Tries4.6

0.0Try Assists3.9

0.1Line Breaks4.8

1.0Offloads11.1

34.8Post Contact Metres594.6

Run Metres

Zac95.6

GLD1822.7

Tackle Breaks

Zac0.8

GLD33.8

Tackles

Zac32.6

GLD340.9

Tries

Zac0.2

GLD4.6

Try Assists

Zac0.0

GLD3.9

Line Breaks

Zac0.1

GLD4.8

Offloads

Zac1.0

GLD11.1

Post Contact Metres

Zac34.8

GLD594.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GLD concede · Offloads

11.1per game · league avg 9.8

#3 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Offloads

At Cbus Super Stadium0.7(3)-0.1

Everywhere else0.8(69)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Offloads

Wet games (≥1mm)0.9(7)+0.1

Dry games0.7(65)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.