Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBR

Corey Horsburgh

Canberra Raiders · @ SGI

13.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

47% (9/19)

enter odds to compare

Avg

13.2

12.6

L10

13.9

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ SGI

Game conditionsWIN Stadium · WollongongRound 22 · 2026-07-31 18:00☁ 11.5°C☂ 0.7mm (6%)🌬 13.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Coreyvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game

112.5Run Metres1917.7

1.8Tackle Breaks30.6

34.9Tackles343.1

0.1Tries5.2

0.1Try Assists3.8

0.1Line Breaks6.0

1.4Offloads8.5

39.6Post Contact Metres599.7

Run Metres

Corey112.5

SGI1917.7

Tackle Breaks

Corey1.8

SGI30.6

Tackles

Corey34.9

SGI343.1

Tries

Corey0.1

SGI5.2

Try Assists

Corey0.1

SGI3.8

Line Breaks

Corey0.1

SGI6.0

Offloads

Corey1.4

SGI8.5

Post Contact Metres

Corey39.6

SGI599.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SGI concede · Runs

195.9per game · league avg 186.4

#1 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At WIN Stadium9.5(2)-3.5

Everywhere else13.0(101)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)12.8(10)-0.1

Dry games12.9(93)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.