P
Current to Round 21, today
CBR
Morgan Smithies
Canberra Raiders · @ NQL
58.5 RMO —U —
Hit rate
47% (9/19)
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Avg
58.5
L5
27.4
L10
46.3
High
131
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
131MANMar 07☂29WARMar 1332CBYMar 19☂37CROMar 2944NEWApr 0598SOUApr 11109MELApr 1773WSTApr 2396GLDMay 0258PENMay 1061DOLMay 2173NQLMay 3144SYDJun 0590PARJun 1327MELJun 2120SGIJun 280CBYJul 110SOUJul 1890WSTJul 25?NQLJul 3058.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Morgan58.5
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Morgan0.4
NQL36.2
Tackles
Morgan24.9
NQL338.9
Tries
Morgan0.0
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Morgan0.0
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Morgan0.0
NQL5.8
Offloads
Morgan0.1
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Morgan22.2
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Run Metres

1759.5per game · league avg 1690.5
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium49.0(1)-29.8
Everywhere else78.8(67)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)87.4(10)+10.6
Dry games76.8(58)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.