P
Current to Round 21, today
CBR
Morgan Smithies
Canberra Raiders · @ MEL
7.5 RUNO —U —
Hit rate
53% (10/19)
enter odds to compare
Avg
7.0
L5
3.6
L10
5.7
High
19
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
19MANMar 07☂3WARMar 133CBYMar 19☂5CROMar 295NEWApr 0510SOUApr 1110MELApr 1710WSTApr 2311GLDMay 028PENMay 108DOLMay 218NQLMay 316SYDJun 059PARJun 135MELJun 213SGIJun 280CBYJul 110SOUJul 1810WSTJul 25?MELJul 317.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Morgan58.5
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Morgan0.4
MEL33.0
Tackles
Morgan24.9
MEL338.8
Tries
Morgan0.0
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Morgan0.0
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Morgan0.0
MEL6.3
Offloads
Morgan0.1
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Morgan22.2
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Runs

193.4per game · league avg 186.4
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At AAMI Park5.0(2)-4.6
Everywhere else9.6(66)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)10.1(10)+0.8
Dry games9.3(58)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.