P
Current to Round 21, today
CBR
Morgan Smithies
Canberra Raiders · @ NQL
29.5 FPO —U —
Hit rate
58% (11/19)
enter odds to compare
Avg
29.7
L5
13.0
L10
21.9
High
53
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
43MANMar 07☂31WARMar 1336CBYMar 19☂40CROMar 2928NEWApr 0553SOUApr 1129MELApr 1742WSTApr 2343GLDMay 0237PENMay 1032DOLMay 2122NQLMay 3132SYDJun 0531PARJun 1324MELJun 2120SGIJun 280CBYJul 110SOUJul 1821WSTJul 25?NQLJul 3029.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Morgan58.5
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Morgan0.4
NQL36.2
Tackles
Morgan24.9
NQL338.9
Tries
Morgan0.0
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Morgan0.0
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Morgan0.0
NQL5.8
Offloads
Morgan0.1
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Morgan22.2
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Fantasy Points

664.8per game · league avg 645.9
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium46.0(1)+7.7
Everywhere else38.3(67)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)39.8(10)+1.6
Dry games38.2(58)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.