Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBR

Morgan Smithies

Canberra Raiders · @ BRI

0.5 OFLO —U —

Hit rate

11% (2/19)

enter odds to compare

Avg

0.1

0.0

L10

0.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Morganvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

58.5Run Metres1842.7

0.4Tackle Breaks31.7

24.9Tackles323.2

0.0Tries4.3

0.0Try Assists3.2

0.0Line Breaks4.7

0.1Offloads10.1

22.2Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Morgan58.5

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Morgan0.4

BRI31.7

Tackles

Morgan24.9

BRI323.2

Tries

Morgan0.0

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Morgan0.0

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Morgan0.0

BRI4.7

Offloads

Morgan0.1

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Morgan22.2

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Offloads

10.1per game · league avg 9.8

#7 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Offloads

At Suncorp Stadium0.0(3)-0.2

Everywhere else0.2(65)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Offloads

Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(10)+0.1

Dry games0.2(58)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.