P
Current to Round 21, today
CBR
Morgan Smithies
Canberra Raiders · @ MEL
22.5 PCMO —U —
Hit rate
42% (8/19)
enter odds to compare
Avg
22.2
L5
9.2
L10
17.6
High
44
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
43MANMar 07☂8WARMar 1313CBYMar 19☂17CROMar 2914NEWApr 0542SOUApr 1141MELApr 1724WSTApr 2344GLDMay 0222PENMay 1020DOLMay 2128NQLMay 3118SYDJun 0542PARJun 138MELJun 213SGIJun 280CBYJul 110SOUJul 1835WSTJul 25?MELJul 3122.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Morgan58.5
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Morgan0.4
MEL33.0
Tackles
Morgan24.9
MEL338.8
Tries
Morgan0.0
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Morgan0.0
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Morgan0.0
MEL6.3
Offloads
Morgan0.1
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Morgan22.2
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Post Contact Metres

571.8per game · league avg 545.7
#6 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Post Contact Metres

At AAMI Park9.0(2)-21.8
Everywhere else30.8(66)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)33.5(10)+3.9
Dry games29.6(58)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.