P
Current to Round 21, today
CBR
Ata Mariota
Canberra Raiders · @ NQL
1.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
26% (5/19)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.1
L5
1.2
L10
1.6
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1MANMar 07☂0WARMar 133CBYMar 19☂0CROMar 290NEWApr 050SOUApr 111MELApr 170WSTApr 230GLDMay 021PENMay 101DOLMay 212NQLMay 312SYDJun 054PARJun 131MELJun 211SGIJun 282CBYJul 111SOUJul 181WSTJul 25?NQLJul 301.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Ata89.1
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Ata1.1
NQL36.2
Tackles
Ata27.3
NQL338.9
Tries
Ata0.0
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Ata0.0
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Ata0.0
NQL5.8
Offloads
Ata0.5
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Ata36.7
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackle Breaks

36.2per game · league avg 32.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium0.7(3)-0.2
Everywhere else0.9(84)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.3(12)+0.5
Dry games0.8(75)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.