Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

BRI

Josiah Karapani

Brisbane Broncos · @ GLD

1.5 PTSO —U —

Hit rate

38% (6/16)

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Avg

1.5

1.6

L10

1.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ GLD

Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 22 · 2026-08-01 15:00☁ 17.2°C☂ 0.2mm (36%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Josiahvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game

159.1Run Metres1822.7

1.9Tackle Breaks33.8

4.6Tackles340.9

0.4Tries4.6

0.1Try Assists3.9

0.9Line Breaks4.8

0.0Offloads11.1

47.0Post Contact Metres594.6

Run Metres

Josiah159.1

GLD1822.7

Tackle Breaks

Josiah1.9

GLD33.8

Tackles

Josiah4.6

GLD340.9

Tries

Josiah0.4

GLD4.6

Try Assists

Josiah0.1

GLD3.9

Line Breaks

Josiah0.9

GLD4.8

Offloads

Josiah0.0

GLD11.1

Post Contact Metres

Josiah47.0

GLD594.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GLD concede · Points

25.5per game · league avg 23.5

#5 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Points

At Cbus Super Stadium0.0(2)-1.6

Everywhere else1.6(42)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Points

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(2)+0.5

Dry games1.5(42)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.