Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

BRI

Josiah Karapani

Brisbane Broncos · @ NQL

4.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

31% (5/16)

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Avg

4.6

6.2

L10

4.7

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL

Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Josiahvs all playersStatNQL concedePer game

159.1Run Metres1759.5

1.9Tackle Breaks36.2

4.6Tackles338.9

0.4Tries4.5

0.1Try Assists3.8

0.9Line Breaks5.8

0.0Offloads10.1

47.0Post Contact Metres610.3

Run Metres

Josiah159.1

NQL1759.5

Tackle Breaks

Josiah1.9

NQL36.2

Tackles

Josiah4.6

NQL338.9

Tries

Josiah0.4

NQL4.5

Try Assists

Josiah0.1

NQL3.8

Line Breaks

Josiah0.9

NQL5.8

Offloads

Josiah0.0

NQL10.1

Post Contact Metres

Josiah47.0

NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackles

338.9per game · league avg 345.6

#13 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium5.7(3)+1.6

Everywhere else4.1(41)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)10.0(2)+6.1

Dry games3.9(42)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.