Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

BRI

Josiah Karapani

Brisbane Broncos · @ GLD

4.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

31% (5/16)

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Avg

4.6

6.2

L10

4.7

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ GLD

Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 22 · 2026-08-01 15:00☁ 17.2°C☂ 0.2mm (36%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Josiahvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game

159.1Run Metres1822.7

1.9Tackle Breaks33.8

4.6Tackles340.9

0.4Tries4.6

0.1Try Assists3.9

0.9Line Breaks4.8

0.0Offloads11.1

47.0Post Contact Metres594.6

Run Metres

Josiah159.1

GLD1822.7

Tackle Breaks

Josiah1.9

GLD33.8

Tackles

Josiah4.6

GLD340.9

Tries

Josiah0.4

GLD4.6

Try Assists

Josiah0.1

GLD3.9

Line Breaks

Josiah0.9

GLD4.8

Offloads

Josiah0.0

GLD11.1

Post Contact Metres

Josiah47.0

GLD594.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GLD concede · Tackles

340.9per game · league avg 345.6

#11 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackles

At Cbus Super Stadium2.0(2)-2.3

Everywhere else4.3(42)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)10.0(2)+6.1

Dry games3.9(42)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.