Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, yesterday

BRI

Cory Paix

Brisbane Broncos · @ GLD

1.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

59% (10/17)

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Avg

1.8

1.6

L10

1.9

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ GLD

Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 22 · 2026-08-01 15:00☁ 17.1°C☂ 0mm (32%)🌬 17.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Coryvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game

13.1Run Metres1822.7

0.2Tackle Breaks33.8

37.1Tackles340.9

0.1Tries4.6

0.0Try Assists3.9

0.1Line Breaks4.8

0.0Offloads11.1

3.6Post Contact Metres594.6

Run Metres

Cory13.1

GLD1822.7

Tackle Breaks

Cory0.2

GLD33.8

Tackles

Cory37.1

GLD340.9

Tries

Cory0.1

GLD4.6

Try Assists

Cory0.0

GLD3.9

Line Breaks

Cory0.1

GLD4.8

Offloads

Cory0.0

GLD11.1

Post Contact Metres

Cory3.6

GLD594.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GLD concede · Runs

194.6per game · league avg 186.4

#3 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At Cbus Super Stadium4.0(2)+2.1

Everywhere else1.9(72)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)2.3(6)+0.5

Dry games1.9(68)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.