Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

BRI

Payne Haas

Brisbane Broncos · @ WST

165.5 RMO —U —

Hit rate

55% (6/11)

enter odds to compare

Avg

165.7

194.4

L10

169.8

High

281

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Paynevs all playersStatWST concedePer game

165.7Run Metres1749.4

3.4Tackle Breaks33.3

33.6Tackles339.1

0.1Tries5.3

0.0Try Assists4.6

0.2Line Breaks6.6

1.4Offloads9.1

72.1Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Payne165.7

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Payne3.4

WST33.3

Tackles

Payne33.6

WST339.1

Tries

Payne0.1

WST5.3

Try Assists

Payne0.0

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Payne0.2

WST6.6

Offloads

Payne1.4

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Payne72.1

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Run Metres

1749.4per game · league avg 1690.5

#6 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At CommBank Stadium183.7(3)+17.7

Everywhere else165.9(109)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)169.6(7)+3.4

Dry games166.2(105)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.