Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

BRI

Payne Haas

Brisbane Broncos · @ NQL

1.5 OFLO —U —

Hit rate

45% (5/11)

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Avg

1.4

1.2

L10

1.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL

Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 15.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Paynevs all playersStatNQL concedePer game

165.7Run Metres1759.5

3.4Tackle Breaks36.2

33.6Tackles338.9

0.1Tries4.5

0.0Try Assists3.8

0.2Line Breaks5.8

1.4Offloads10.1

72.1Post Contact Metres610.3

Run Metres

Payne165.7

NQL1759.5

Tackle Breaks

Payne3.4

NQL36.2

Tackles

Payne33.6

NQL338.9

Tries

Payne0.1

NQL4.5

Try Assists

Payne0.0

NQL3.8

Line Breaks

Payne0.2

NQL5.8

Offloads

Payne1.4

NQL10.1

Post Contact Metres

Payne72.1

NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Offloads

10.1per game · league avg 9.8

#8 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Offloads

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium0.6(5)-1.1

Everywhere else1.7(107)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Offloads

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(7)+0.3

Dry games1.7(105)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.