P
Current to Round 21, today
BRI
Patrick Carrigan
Brisbane Broncos · @ NQL
133.5 RMO U
Hit rate
42% (5/12)
enter odds to compare
Avg
133.5
L5
113.0
L10
135.6
High
179
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
118PENMar 06128PARMar 12169MELMar 20177DOLMar 27179GLDApr 04145NQLApr 10121SYDMay 02118MANMay 09166WARMay 1734SGIMay 31126PENJul 16121NQLJul 25?NQLJul 30133.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:5019.8°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Patrick133.5
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Patrick1.3
NQL36.2
Tackles
Patrick45.8
NQL338.9
Tries
Patrick0.1
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Patrick0.2
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Patrick0.1
NQL5.8
Offloads
Patrick0.5
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Patrick45.3
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Run Metres

1759.5per game · league avg 1690.5
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium127.2(6)-27.6
Everywhere else154.7(98)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)161.1(8)+8.6
Dry games152.5(96)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.