Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

BRI

Patrick Carrigan

Brisbane Broncos · vs NEW

56.5 FPO —U —

Hit rate

67% (8/12)

enter odds to compare

Avg

56.1

51.2

L10

56.9

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 22 vs NEW

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Patrickvs all playersStatNEW concedePer game

133.5Run Metres1735.4

1.3Tackle Breaks33.7

45.8Tackles332.7

0.1Tries4.2

0.2Try Assists3.6

0.1Line Breaks4.6

0.5Offloads10.3

45.3Post Contact Metres559.7

Run Metres

Patrick133.5

NEW1735.4

Tackle Breaks

Patrick1.3

NEW33.7

Tackles

Patrick45.8

NEW332.7

Tries

Patrick0.1

NEW4.2

Try Assists

Patrick0.2

NEW3.6

Line Breaks

Patrick0.1

NEW4.6

Offloads

Patrick0.5

NEW10.3

Post Contact Metres

Patrick45.3

NEW559.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NEW concede · Fantasy Points

633.2per game · league avg 645.9

#13 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At Suncorp Stadium55.4(55)+1.9

Everywhere else53.4(49)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)58.3(8)+4.1

Dry games54.2(96)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.