P
Current to Round 21, today
BRI
Patrick Carrigan
Brisbane Broncos · @ NQL
1.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
42% (5/12)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.3
L5
0.6
L10
1.5
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1PENMar 060PARMar 122MELMar 203DOLMar 271GLDApr 043NQLApr 103SYDMay 020MANMay 093WARMay 170SGIMay 310PENJul 16☂0NQLJul 25?NQLJul 301.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Patrick133.5
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Patrick1.3
NQL36.2
Tackles
Patrick45.8
NQL338.9
Tries
Patrick0.1
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Patrick0.2
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Patrick0.1
NQL5.8
Offloads
Patrick0.5
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Patrick45.3
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackle Breaks

36.2per game · league avg 32.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium0.8(6)-0.8
Everywhere else1.6(98)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)2.4(8)+0.9
Dry games1.5(96)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.