P
Current to Round 21, today
BRI
Patrick Carrigan
Brisbane Broncos · @ PEN
45.5 TKO —U —
Hit rate
50% (6/12)
enter odds to compare
Avg
45.8
L5
46.8
L10
46.2
High
52
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
45PENMar 0643PARMar 1243MELMar 2052DOLMar 2749GLDApr 0443NQLApr 1041SYDMay 0250MANMay 0952WARMay 1732SGIMay 3148PENJul 16☂52NQLJul 25?PENAug 0145.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ PEN
Game conditionsGlen Willow Oval · MudgeeRound 22 · 2026-08-01 17:30☁ 10°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 8.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Patrick133.5
PEN1561.5
Tackle Breaks
Patrick1.3
PEN30.5
Tackles
Patrick45.8
PEN369.6
Tries
Patrick0.1
PEN2.5
Try Assists
Patrick0.2
PEN2.3
Line Breaks
Patrick0.1
PEN3.9
Offloads
Patrick0.5
PEN8.2
Post Contact Metres
Patrick45.3
PEN546.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

PEN concede · Tackles

369.6per game · league avg 345.6
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Glen Willow Oval—(0)
Everywhere else36.3(104)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)35.9(8)-0.5
Dry games36.4(96)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.