Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Jacob van Rooyen

Melbourne · @ GCS

1.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

33% (6/18)

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Avg

1.2

L10

1.1

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ GCS

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Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 17.7°C☂ 0mm (28%)🌬 13.9 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jacobvs all playersStatGCS concedePer game

11.9Disposals359.7

7.0Kicks206.6

4.8Marks83.4

1.2Tackles64.7

0.7Clearances38.2

1.8Inside 50s52.9

5.6Contested Poss.128.1

2.1Goals13.2

Disposals

Jacob11.9

GCS359.7

Kicks

Jacob7.0

GCS206.6

Marks

Jacob4.8

GCS83.4

Tackles

Jacob1.2

GCS64.7

Clearances

Jacob0.7

GCS38.2

Inside 50s

Jacob1.8

GCS52.9

Contested Poss.

Jacob5.6

GCS128.1

Goals

Jacob2.1

GCS13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GCS concede · Tackles

64.7per game · league avg 56.9

#1 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Carrara3.0(2)+1.1

Everywhere else1.9(73)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)1.6(5)-0.3

Dry games1.9(70)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.