Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CRO

Jesse Ramien

Cronulla Sharks · @ SGI

14.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

58% (7/12)

enter odds to compare

Avg

14.2

15.2

L10

14.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ SGI

Game conditionsWIN Stadium · WollongongRound 22 · 2026-07-31 18:00☁ 11.5°C☂ 0.7mm (5%)🌬 13.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jessevs all playersStatSGI concedePer game

130.7Run Metres1917.7

2.1Tackle Breaks30.6

14.0Tackles343.1

0.4Tries5.2

0.2Try Assists3.8

0.6Line Breaks6.0

0.9Offloads8.5

45.5Post Contact Metres599.7

Run Metres

Jesse130.7

SGI1917.7

Tackle Breaks

Jesse2.1

SGI30.6

Tackles

Jesse14.0

SGI343.1

Tries

Jesse0.4

SGI5.2

Try Assists

Jesse0.2

SGI3.8

Line Breaks

Jesse0.6

SGI6.0

Offloads

Jesse0.9

SGI8.5

Post Contact Metres

Jesse45.5

SGI599.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SGI concede · Runs

195.9per game · league avg 186.4

#1 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At WIN Stadium15.0(2)+0.1

Everywhere else14.9(123)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)12.3(7)-2.7

Dry games15.0(118)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.