P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Josh Worrell
Adelaide · @ ESS
0.5 GAO U
Hit rate
6% (1/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.1
L5
0.2
L10
0.1
High
1
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0COLMar 140WBDMar 200GEEMar 260FREApr 030CARApr 090STKApr 180BRIApr 260PORMay 010RICMay 100NORMay 160HAWMay 210GEEJun 041WBDJun 110PORJun 270WCEJul 030GCSJul 110SYDJul 17?ESSAug 020.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS

Enter odds and a stake to track this bet. You'll settle it by hand on the bets page — nothing grades itself.

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Josh22.6
ESS398.8
Kicks
Josh14.6
ESS232.6
Marks
Josh5.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Josh1.7
ESS50.5
Clearances
Josh0.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Josh1.5
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Josh6.2
ESS121.4
Goals
Josh0.0
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Goal Assists

11.6per game · league avg 9.3
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At Docklands0.2(5)+0.1
Everywhere else0.1(67)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.2(6)+0.1
Dry games0.1(66)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.