P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Josh Worrell
Adelaide · @ ESS
8.5 HBO U
Hit rate
47% (8/17)
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Avg
8.0
L5
5.2
L10
7.5
High
12
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
11COLMar 146WBDMar 209GEEMar 267FREApr 038CARApr 0911STKApr 189BRIApr 268PORMay 018RICMay 109NORMay 1612HAWMay 2112GEEJun 045WBDJun 114PORJun 274WCEJul 039GCSJul 114SYDJul 17?ESSAug 028.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS

Enter odds and a stake to track this bet. You'll settle it by hand on the bets page — nothing grades itself.

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Josh22.6
ESS398.8
Kicks
Josh14.6
ESS232.6
Marks
Josh5.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Josh1.7
ESS50.5
Clearances
Josh0.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Josh1.5
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Josh6.2
ESS121.4
Goals
Josh0.0
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands4.6(5)-1.7
Everywhere else6.3(67)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)7.5(6)+1.4
Dry games6.1(66)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.