P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Josh Worrell
Adelaide · @ ESS
5.5 MKO U
Hit rate
47% (8/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.8
L5
5.2
L10
5.2
High
11
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
8COLMar 149WBDMar 205GEEMar 267FREApr 033CARApr 0911STKApr 184BRIApr 264PORMay 017RICMay 105NORMay 167HAWMay 213GEEJun 047WBDJun 115PORJun 278WCEJul 034GCSJul 112SYDJul 17?ESSAug 025.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS

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Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Josh22.6
ESS398.8
Kicks
Josh14.6
ESS232.6
Marks
Josh5.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Josh1.7
ESS50.5
Clearances
Josh0.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Josh1.5
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Josh6.2
ESS121.4
Goals
Josh0.0
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands5.8(5)+0.8
Everywhere else5.0(67)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)5.2(6)+0.1
Dry games5.1(66)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.