P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Josh Worrell
Adelaide · @ ESS
1.5 TKO U
Hit rate
65% (11/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.7
L5
1.4
L10
2.0
High
4
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0COLMar 140WBDMar 202GEEMar 261FREApr 032CARApr 092STKApr 182BRIApr 263PORMay 013RICMay 102NORMay 163HAWMay 212GEEJun 040WBDJun 114PORJun 272WCEJul 030GCSJul 111SYDJul 17?ESSAug 021.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS

Enter odds and a stake to track this bet. You'll settle it by hand on the bets page — nothing grades itself.

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Josh22.6
ESS398.8
Kicks
Josh14.6
ESS232.6
Marks
Josh5.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Josh1.7
ESS50.5
Clearances
Josh0.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Josh1.5
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Josh6.2
ESS121.4
Goals
Josh0.0
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Tackles

50.5per game · league avg 56.9
#16 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands1.0(5)-0.6
Everywhere else1.6(67)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)2.2(6)+0.6
Dry games1.5(66)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.