Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CRO

Daniel Atkinson

Cronulla Sharks · @ MEL

53.5 RMO —U —

Hit rate

41% (7/17)

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Avg

53.7

56.0

L10

59.0

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL

Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 6.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Danielvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

53.7Run Metres1701.7

1.2Tackle Breaks33.0

21.2Tackles338.8

0.1Tries4.4

0.5Try Assists3.6

0.1Line Breaks6.3

0.5Offloads9.9

12.9Post Contact Metres571.8

Run Metres

Daniel53.7

MEL1701.7

Tackle Breaks

Daniel1.2

MEL33.0

Tackles

Daniel21.2

MEL338.8

Tries

Daniel0.1

MEL4.4

Try Assists

Daniel0.5

MEL3.6

Line Breaks

Daniel0.1

MEL6.3

Offloads

Daniel0.5

MEL9.9

Post Contact Metres

Daniel12.9

MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Run Metres

1701.7per game · league avg 1690.5

#9 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Run Metres

At AAMI Park14.2(5)-28.6

Everywhere else42.8(65)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)50.5(4)+10.3

Dry games40.2(66)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.