Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

SYD

Daniel Tupou

Sydney Roosters · @ BRI

14.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

62% (8/13)

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Avg

14.8

14.2

L10

14.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Danielvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

157.5Run Metres1842.7

2.2Tackle Breaks31.7

1.7Tackles323.2

0.9Tries4.3

0.2Try Assists3.2

0.7Line Breaks4.7

0.5Offloads10.1

54.4Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Daniel157.5

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Daniel2.2

BRI31.7

Tackles

Daniel1.7

BRI323.2

Tries

Daniel0.9

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Daniel0.2

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Daniel0.7

BRI4.7

Offloads

Daniel0.5

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Daniel54.4

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Runs

195.2per game · league avg 186.4

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At Suncorp Stadium16.6(12)-0.5

Everywhere else17.1(115)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)17.7(7)+0.7

Dry games17.0(120)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.