Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

SYD

Daniel Tupou

Sydney Roosters · @ BRI

1.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

46% (6/13)

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Avg

1.7

1.8

L10

2.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Danielvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

157.5Run Metres1842.7

2.2Tackle Breaks31.7

1.7Tackles323.2

0.9Tries4.3

0.2Try Assists3.2

0.7Line Breaks4.7

0.5Offloads10.1

54.4Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Daniel157.5

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Daniel2.2

BRI31.7

Tackles

Daniel1.7

BRI323.2

Tries

Daniel0.9

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Daniel0.2

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Daniel0.7

BRI4.7

Offloads

Daniel0.5

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Daniel54.4

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Tackles

323.2per game · league avg 345.6

#16 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Suncorp Stadium2.8(12)-0.4

Everywhere else3.2(115)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)2.6(7)-0.7

Dry games3.2(120)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.