Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

SYD

Billy Smith

Sydney Roosters · @ BRI

1.5 OFLO —U —

Hit rate

30% (3/10)

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Avg

1.1

1.0

L10

1.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Billyvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

144.4Run Metres1842.7

2.9Tackle Breaks31.7

11.4Tackles323.2

0.8Tries4.3

0.5Try Assists3.2

1.0Line Breaks4.7

1.1Offloads10.1

49.0Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Billy144.4

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Billy2.9

BRI31.7

Tackles

Billy11.4

BRI323.2

Tries

Billy0.8

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Billy0.5

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Billy1.0

BRI4.7

Offloads

Billy1.1

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Billy49.0

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Offloads

10.1per game · league avg 9.8

#7 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Offloads

At Suncorp Stadium1.2(6)+0.5

Everywhere else0.6(50)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Offloads

Wet games (≥1mm)0.7(3)

Dry games0.7(53)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.