P
Current to Round 21, today
SYD
Billy Smith
Sydney Roosters · @ MEL
49.5 PCMO U
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
49.0
L5
46.0
L10
49.0
High
85
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
23WARMar 0621MANMar 2677MELMay 3085CBRJun 0554DOLJun 1230CROJun 2171BRIJun 2640PARJul 1144MELJul 1745NEWJul 24?MELJul 3149.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (2%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Billy144.4
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Billy2.9
MEL33.0
Tackles
Billy11.4
MEL338.8
Tries
Billy0.8
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Billy0.5
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Billy1.0
MEL6.3
Offloads
Billy1.1
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Billy49.0
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Post Contact Metres

571.8per game · league avg 545.7
#6 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Post Contact Metres

At AAMI Park66.0(2)+29.1
Everywhere else36.9(54)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)53.0(3)+15.9
Dry games37.1(53)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.