Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

SYD

Mark Nawaqanitawase

Sydney Roosters · @ BRI

41.5 FPO —U —

Hit rate

50% (7/14)

enter odds to compare

Avg

41.1

34.4

L10

39.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (4%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Markvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

162.8Run Metres1842.7

4.1Tackle Breaks31.7

3.9Tackles323.2

0.9Tries4.3

0.3Try Assists3.2

0.9Line Breaks4.7

1.1Offloads10.1

58.1Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Mark162.8

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Mark4.1

BRI31.7

Tackles

Mark3.9

BRI323.2

Tries

Mark0.9

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Mark0.3

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Mark0.9

BRI4.7

Offloads

Mark1.1

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Mark58.1

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Fantasy Points

636.4per game · league avg 645.9

#11 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At Suncorp Stadium25.0(4)-22.3

Everywhere else47.3(35)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)35.0(1)-10.2

Dry games45.2(38)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.