Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

SYD

Mark Nawaqanitawase

Sydney Roosters · @ MEL

3.5 PTSO —U —

Hit rate

43% (6/14)

enter odds to compare

Avg

3.4

1.6

L10

3.6

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL

Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Markvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

162.8Run Metres1701.7

4.1Tackle Breaks33.0

3.9Tackles338.8

0.9Tries4.4

0.3Try Assists3.6

0.9Line Breaks6.3

1.1Offloads9.9

58.1Post Contact Metres571.8

Run Metres

Mark162.8

MEL1701.7

Tackle Breaks

Mark4.1

MEL33.0

Tackles

Mark3.9

MEL338.8

Tries

Mark0.9

MEL4.4

Try Assists

Mark0.3

MEL3.6

Line Breaks

Mark0.9

MEL6.3

Offloads

Mark1.1

MEL9.9

Post Contact Metres

Mark58.1

MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Points

24.1per game · league avg 23.5

#8 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Points

At AAMI Park16.0(1)+12.5

Everywhere else3.5(38)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Points

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-3.9

Dry games3.9(38)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.