Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

SYD

Mark Nawaqanitawase

Sydney Roosters · @ BRI

4.5 TBO —U —

Hit rate

29% (4/14)

enter odds to compare

Avg

4.1

2.6

L10

3.4

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Markvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

162.8Run Metres1842.7

4.1Tackle Breaks31.7

3.9Tackles323.2

0.9Tries4.3

0.3Try Assists3.2

0.9Line Breaks4.7

1.1Offloads10.1

58.1Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Mark162.8

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Mark4.1

BRI31.7

Tackles

Mark3.9

BRI323.2

Tries

Mark0.9

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Mark0.3

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Mark0.9

BRI4.7

Offloads

Mark1.1

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Mark58.1

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Tackle Breaks

31.7per game · league avg 32.6

#11 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Suncorp Stadium2.5(4)-2.4

Everywhere else4.9(35)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)6.0(1)+1.4

Dry games4.6(38)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.