Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

SYD

Mark Nawaqanitawase

Sydney Roosters · @ BRI

3.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

64% (9/14)

enter odds to compare

Avg

3.9

5.6

L10

3.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Markvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

162.8Run Metres1842.7

4.1Tackle Breaks31.7

3.9Tackles323.2

0.9Tries4.3

0.3Try Assists3.2

0.9Line Breaks4.7

1.1Offloads10.1

58.1Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Mark162.8

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Mark4.1

BRI31.7

Tackles

Mark3.9

BRI323.2

Tries

Mark0.9

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Mark0.3

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Mark0.9

BRI4.7

Offloads

Mark1.1

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Mark58.1

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Tackles

323.2per game · league avg 345.6

#16 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Suncorp Stadium2.3(4)-4.3

Everywhere else6.6(35)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(1)-3.2

Dry games6.2(38)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.