P
Current to Round 21, today
SYD
Sam Walker
Sydney Roosters · @ NQL
1.5 TBO U
Hit rate
38% (6/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.3
L5
1.6
L10
1.5
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2WARMar 061SOUMar 131PENMar 200MANMar 262CROApr 110NEWApr 190SGIApr 251BRIMay 022GLDMay 084NQLMay 160MELMay 304CBRJun 051CROJun 211BRIJun 262MELJul 170NEWJul 24?NQLJul 301.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:5019.8°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Sam88.0
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Sam1.3
NQL36.2
Tackles
Sam15.6
NQL338.9
Tries
Sam0.4
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Sam0.9
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Sam0.3
NQL5.8
Offloads
Sam1.1
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Sam11.6
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackle Breaks

36.2per game · league avg 32.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium2.7(3)+1.3
Everywhere else1.4(101)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)0.8(10)-0.7
Dry games1.5(94)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.