Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

SYD

Sam Walker

Sydney Roosters · @ BRI

0.5 TAO —U —

Hit rate

56% (9/16)

enter odds to compare

Avg

0.9

1.0

L10

1.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Samvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

88.0Run Metres1842.7

1.3Tackle Breaks31.7

15.6Tackles323.2

0.4Tries4.3

0.9Try Assists3.2

0.3Line Breaks4.7

1.1Offloads10.1

11.6Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Sam88.0

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Sam1.3

BRI31.7

Tackles

Sam15.6

BRI323.2

Tries

Sam0.4

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Sam0.9

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Sam0.3

BRI4.7

Offloads

Sam1.1

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Sam11.6

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Try Assists

3.2per game · league avg 3.5

#12 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Try Assists

At Suncorp Stadium0.5(12)-0.4

Everywhere else0.9(92)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Try Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.6(10)-0.3

Dry games0.9(94)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.