P
Current to Round 21, today
SYD
Connor Watson
Sydney Roosters · @ NQL
65.5 RMO —U —
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
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Avg
65.7
L5
58.8
L10
61.6
High
152
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
17WARMar 0668SOUMar 1387PENMar 20152MANMar 2651CROApr 1195NEWApr 1938SGIApr 2559BRIMay 0276GLDMay 08100NQLMay 1612MELMay 30☂80CBRJun 0554DOLJun 1236CROJun 21104BRIJun 2682PARJul 1172MELJul 170NEWJul 24?NQLJul 3065.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 15.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Connor65.7
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Connor1.6
NQL36.2
Tackles
Connor26.6
NQL338.9
Tries
Connor0.1
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Connor0.1
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Connor0.0
NQL5.8
Offloads
Connor0.3
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Connor21.4
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Run Metres

1759.5per game · league avg 1690.5
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium85.0(2)+5.0
Everywhere else80.0(105)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)68.0(10)-13.4
Dry games81.4(97)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.