Current to Round 21, today
SYD
Connor Watson
7.5 RUNO —U —
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
7.6
L5
7.2
L10
6.7
High
17
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Line Over Under
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Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly65.7Run Metres1701.7
1.6Tackle Breaks33.0
26.6Tackles338.8
0.1Tries4.4
0.1Try Assists3.6
0.0Line Breaks6.3
0.3Offloads9.9
21.4Post Contact Metres571.8
Run Metres
Connor
MEL
Tackle Breaks
Connor
MEL
Tackles
Connor
MEL
Tries
Connor
MEL
Try Assists
Connor
MEL
Line Breaks
Connor
MEL
Offloads
Connor
MEL
Post Contact Metres
Connor
MEL
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
MEL concede · Runs
193.4
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At AAMI Park7.4(5)
Everywhere else9.4(102)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)8.2(10)
Dry games9.4(97)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.