P
Current to Round 21, today
SYD
Connor Watson
Sydney Roosters · @ NQL
34.5 FPO —U —
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
34.9
L5
30.0
L10
35.4
High
76
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
11WARMar 0636SOUMar 1345PENMar 2069MANMar 2632CROApr 1132NEWApr 1913SGIApr 2537BRIMay 0228GLDMay 0876NQLMay 1615MELMay 30☂48CBRJun 0537DOLJun 1233CROJun 2147BRIJun 2636PARJul 1134MELJul 170NEWJul 24?NQLJul 3034.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Connor65.7
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Connor1.6
NQL36.2
Tackles
Connor26.6
NQL338.9
Tries
Connor0.1
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Connor0.1
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Connor0.0
NQL5.8
Offloads
Connor0.3
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Connor21.4
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Fantasy Points

664.8per game · league avg 645.9
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium41.5(2)-4.6
Everywhere else46.1(105)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)44.2(10)-2.0
Dry games46.2(97)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.