P
Current to Round 21, today
SYD
Connor Watson
Sydney Roosters · @ NQL
21.5 PCMO —U —
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
21.4
L5
18.4
L10
20.2
High
59
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
6WARMar 0620SOUMar 1325PENMar 2059MANMar 2619CROApr 1126NEWApr 195SGIApr 2523BRIMay 0226GLDMay 0838NQLMay 164MELMay 30☂26CBRJun 0516DOLJun 1213CROJun 2124BRIJun 2645PARJul 1110MELJul 170NEWJul 24?NQLJul 3021.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 15.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Connor65.7
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Connor1.6
NQL36.2
Tackles
Connor26.6
NQL338.9
Tries
Connor0.1
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Connor0.1
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Connor0.0
NQL5.8
Offloads
Connor0.3
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Connor21.4
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Post Contact Metres

610.3per game · league avg 545.7
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Post Contact Metres

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium24.5(2)+1.4
Everywhere else23.1(105)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)24.1(10)+1.1
Dry games23.0(97)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.