P
Current to Round 21, today
SYD
Connor Watson
Sydney Roosters · @ NQL
1.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
39% (7/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.6
L5
2.6
L10
1.7
High
5
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0WARMar 060SOUMar 134PENMar 203MANMar 263CROApr 111NEWApr 190SGIApr 250BRIMay 020GLDMay 082NQLMay 160MELMay 30☂1CBRJun 051DOLJun 122CROJun 215BRIJun 265PARJul 111MELJul 170NEWJul 24?NQLJul 301.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 15.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Connor65.7
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Connor1.6
NQL36.2
Tackles
Connor26.6
NQL338.9
Tries
Connor0.1
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Connor0.1
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Connor0.0
NQL5.8
Offloads
Connor0.3
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Connor21.4
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackle Breaks

36.2per game · league avg 32.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium2.5(2)+0.3
Everywhere else2.2(105)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.9(10)-0.4
Dry games2.3(97)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.