P
Current to Round 21, today
SYD
Connor Watson
Sydney Roosters · @ MEL
26.5 TKO —U —
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
26.6
L5
21.4
L10
27.3
High
50
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
12WARMar 0631SOUMar 1341PENMar 2039MANMar 2617CROApr 1123NEWApr 1912SGIApr 2530BRIMay 0223GLDMay 0850NQLMay 1613MELMay 30☂40CBRJun 0540DOLJun 1223CROJun 2125BRIJun 2626PARJul 1133MELJul 170NEWJul 24?MELJul 3126.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Connor65.7
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Connor1.6
MEL33.0
Tackles
Connor26.6
MEL338.8
Tries
Connor0.1
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Connor0.1
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Connor0.0
MEL6.3
Offloads
Connor0.3
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Connor21.4
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackles

338.8per game · league avg 345.6
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At AAMI Park27.8(5)-4.2
Everywhere else32.0(102)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)32.6(10)+0.9
Dry games31.7(97)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.