P
Current to Round 21, today
SYD
Angus Crichton
Sydney Roosters · @ NQL
2.5 TBO U
Hit rate
46% (6/13)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.8
L5
3.6
L10
3.2
High
9
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0WARMar 062SOUMar 133PENMar 203MANMar 267CROApr 112NEWApr 191SGIApr 251BRIMay 024GLDMay 083NQLMay 161MELMay 301CBRJun 059DOLJun 12?NQLJul 302.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:5019.7°C0mm (0%)🌬 15.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Angus112.2
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Angus2.8
NQL36.2
Tackles
Angus29.3
NQL338.9
Tries
Angus0.2
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Angus0.0
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Angus0.1
NQL5.8
Offloads
Angus1.2
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Angus48.2
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackle Breaks

36.2per game · league avg 32.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium2.3(3)-0.5
Everywhere else2.8(112)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.6(9)+0.8
Dry games2.7(106)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.