Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

SYD

Sandon Smith

Sydney Roosters · @ BRI

9.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

67% (12/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

9.8

8.6

L10

7.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 6.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Sandonvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

68.8Run Metres1842.7

0.8Tackle Breaks31.7

15.3Tackles323.2

0.1Tries4.3

0.6Try Assists3.2

0.1Line Breaks4.7

0.6Offloads10.1

9.3Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Sandon68.8

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Sandon0.8

BRI31.7

Tackles

Sandon15.3

BRI323.2

Tries

Sandon0.1

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Sandon0.6

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Sandon0.1

BRI4.7

Offloads

Sandon0.6

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Sandon9.3

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Runs

195.2per game · league avg 186.4

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At Suncorp Stadium5.5(4)-1.1

Everywhere else6.6(66)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)5.7(3)-0.9

Dry games6.6(67)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.