Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

MEL

Nick Meaney

Melbourne Storm · @ WST

102.5 RMO —U —

Hit rate

53% (8/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

102.7

90.8

L10

108.1

High

166

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Nickvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

102.7Run Metres1749.4

1.9Tackle Breaks33.3

11.1Tackles339.1

0.3Tries5.3

0.0Try Assists4.6

0.3Line Breaks6.6

0.4Offloads9.1

31.9Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Nick102.7

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Nick1.9

WST33.3

Tackles

Nick11.1

WST339.1

Tries

Nick0.3

WST5.3

Try Assists

Nick0.0

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Nick0.3

WST6.6

Offloads

Nick0.4

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Nick31.9

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Run Metres

1749.4per game · league avg 1690.5

#6 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At CommBank Stadium103.3(11)-17.3

Everywhere else120.6(120)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)72.6(8)-49.5

Dry games122.2(123)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.