Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

MEL

Nick Meaney

Melbourne Storm · @ NQL

11.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

47% (7/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

11.1

14.8

L10

13.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL

Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Nickvs all playersStatNQL concedePer game

102.7Run Metres1759.5

1.9Tackle Breaks36.2

11.1Tackles338.9

0.3Tries4.5

0.0Try Assists3.8

0.3Line Breaks5.8

0.4Offloads10.1

31.9Post Contact Metres610.3

Run Metres

Nick102.7

NQL1759.5

Tackle Breaks

Nick1.9

NQL36.2

Tackles

Nick11.1

NQL338.9

Tries

Nick0.3

NQL4.5

Try Assists

Nick0.0

NQL3.8

Line Breaks

Nick0.3

NQL5.8

Offloads

Nick0.4

NQL10.1

Post Contact Metres

Nick31.9

NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackles

338.9per game · league avg 345.6

#13 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium4.0(3)-6.7

Everywhere else10.7(128)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)9.8(8)-0.8

Dry games10.6(123)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.