P
Current to Round 21, today
MEL
Will Warbrick
Melbourne Storm · @ NQL
146.5 RMO —U —
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
146.4
L5
157.4
L10
141.0
High
213
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
146PARMar 05199SGIMar 14174BRIMar 20163NQLMar 28100PENApr 03140WARApr 11198CBRApr 17105SOUApr 2595DOLMay 01123WSTMay 10172PARMay 16100CBYMay 22133SYDMay 30☂206NEWJun 05154CBRJun 21213MANJun 27167GLDJul 12☂47SYDJul 17?NQLJul 30146.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 15.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Will146.4
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Will3.1
NQL36.2
Tackles
Will4.9
NQL338.9
Tries
Will0.9
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Will0.1
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Will0.6
NQL5.8
Offloads
Will0.7
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Will52.5
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Run Metres

1759.5per game · league avg 1690.5
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium160.0(2)+10.3
Everywhere else149.7(72)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)164.7(3)+15.3
Dry games149.3(71)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.