P
Current to Round 21, today
MEL
Will Warbrick
Melbourne Storm · @ NQL
34.5 FPO U
Hit rate
39% (7/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
34.5
L5
41.8
L10
31.4
High
81
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
35PARMar 0558SGIMar 1428BRIMar 2076NQLMar 2816PENApr 0332WARApr 1143CBRApr 1719SOUApr 2517DOLMay 0129WSTMay 1030PARMay 1617CBYMay 2212SYDMay 3046NEWJun 0581CBRJun 2148MANJun 2734GLDJul 120SYDJul 17?NQLJul 3034.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:5019.8°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Will146.4
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Will3.1
NQL36.2
Tackles
Will4.9
NQL338.9
Tries
Will0.9
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Will0.1
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Will0.6
NQL5.8
Offloads
Will0.7
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Will52.5
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Fantasy Points

664.8per game · league avg 645.9
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium48.5(2)+15.6
Everywhere else32.9(72)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)26.0(3)-7.6
Dry games33.6(71)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.