P
Current to Round 21, today
MEL
Will Warbrick
Melbourne Storm · @ NQL
0.5 LBO —U —
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.6
L5
0.8
L10
0.4
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1PARMar 052SGIMar 140BRIMar 202NQLMar 280PENApr 031WARApr 111CBRApr 170SOUApr 250DOLMay 010WSTMay 100PARMay 160CBYMay 220SYDMay 30☂1NEWJun 052CBRJun 211MANJun 270GLDJul 12☂0SYDJul 17?NQLJul 300.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Will146.4
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Will3.1
NQL36.2
Tackles
Will4.9
NQL338.9
Tries
Will0.9
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Will0.1
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Will0.6
NQL5.8
Offloads
Will0.7
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Will52.5
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Line Breaks

5.8per game · league avg 5.0
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Line Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium1.5(2)+0.8
Everywhere else0.7(72)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Line Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(3)-0.4
Dry games0.7(71)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.